It’s been a year to remember in the UFC — McGregor’s comeback (yes, that happened in 2020), a global pandemic, Cormier and Khabib’s likely retirement, plus so much more! But the show is not over quite yet as the UFC 255 fight card is the second-to-last big event of the calendar year.
For you, that means another gambling opportunity — for money or bragging rights, you decide. But first, you’ll need the right betting strategy, and this is where we come in. We’ve done our research and here’s how you should bet UFC 255:
Parlay The Big Fights
Typically, bettors cling to the main or semi-event since it features the top fighters. But UFC 255 isn’t your typical event. That’s because the big fights are lopsided. Really lopsided as a matter of fact.
The main event pits Deiveson Figueiredo against Alex Perez for the flyweight title. The defending champ, Figueiredo, enters as -300 to retain the gold. A moneyline bet on his side offers little to no value.
But this pales in comparison to the semi-main event between Valentina Shevchenko and Jennifer Maia, which is also for the women’s flyweight championship. In this one, Shevchenko is a staggering -1200 favorite — and that’s not a typo.
Unless you think the underdogs will pull out the victory in either match (which we sure don’t), there’s no point in betting the fights alone. No, you’re better off adding them into a multi-leg parlay with a third event. What third event, you ask? Welp, the one we’ll cover next.
Even The Odds With Shogun-Craig
Also on the main card is a rematch one year in the making — Paul Craig versus Mauricio “Shogun” Rua. The pair of light heavyweights duked it out in November of 2019, a fight that was scored as a rare draw. It was a hellacious war between a pair of jiu-jitsu experts and they’ll meet once again at UFC 255.
Oddsmakers are giving Craig a -185 advantage, whereas Rua is the +160 underdog. We love Rua’s plus-money odds, especially if parlaying with Shevchenko and Figueiredo wins.
Here’s why: Shogun is 5-1-1 in his most recent fights. That’s a surprise to most that see the 38-year-older as past his prime. Spoiler alert: the all-timer can STILL hang in the octagon.
Plus, Craig is the ultimate wildcard. You just never know what you’ll get out of him with the first bout between the two being hard evidence. There’s points in that match where Craig was pulverizing Shogun, but just as many moments where he was nonchalant in the ring.
Deciding Between The Battle Of Brandons
UFC 255 sure is the card if you like fights at the 125-pound limit. In the third flyweight match of the evening, Brandon Royval and Brandon Moreno square off. The winner puts himself in prime position to challenge for the flyweight belt.
As of now, Moreno is the favorite at -185 odds. Royval at +165 isn’t far behind, though.
For us, we can’t get past Royval’s small sample size in the octagon. The “raw dog”, as he’s dubbed, barely debuted in the UFC in May. Since then, he’s claimed back-to-back victories against runt-of-the-litter opponents.
Moreno, while actually younger, has a better UFC resume currently. He famously burst onto the scene with a draw against Askar Askrov, which remains the only non-win in Askrov’s career. Moreno followed that with two bell-to-bell wins via decision. That track record gives us more betting confidence than Royval does.
Hunt For Fight Props
Of course, there’s so much more to UFC wagering than who will win. Just as fun and lucrative are in-fights props.
There’s no shortage of props with UFC 255. We can’t list them all here, but your most-trusted online bookmaker surely has ‘em.
One we love to wager on is the method of victory. In this one, you pick how a fight will end — knockout, submission, or decision. Guess correct and you earn a payout, no matter which fighter scores the victory.
The main event sets up well for this prop. Perez has a tendency to submit (three of his five career losses have been via tap out), which plays right into Figueiredo’s strength as a jiu-jitsu black belt. That’s it for us, but heed our UFC 255 expert advice and you’ll fare well betting-wise. Just make sure to lock in your bets before the November 21 bell time.